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The broad scope of this model is one of its greatest assets. It can model almost any situation
simply by changing the parameters to match the real-world situation, i.e. population, population
density, the probability of infection, etc. Simply by manipulating these values, entirely new
outcomes can be reached, based on the restraints put on the model. The constrain value being the
number of Immune, Sick, Total Population, Susceptible, Dead, etc. Our program has the capacity
to model any infectious illnesses assuming they spread by human-to-human contact only. As stated
earlier, in our model of an Avian Influenza epidemic, it is assumed that the virus has mutated
to the point where human-to-human contact is the method of spreading the illness. This
generalization allows this model to be applied to many other illnesses and this ability greatly
enhances the value of the program by making it available to many different people and situations.
Other diseases that spread by human-to-human contact can be modeled with this program as long
as realistic values are known.
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This project involves diseases and is, by nature, entirely
conceptual in its composition. The only materials needed in the development of this project
were research related, including: computers, Internet, paper, books, a great mentor, etc.
The programming environment used in this project was Java developed by Sun Microsystems, with
great modeling libraries which included Repast agent simulation software for the purpose of
making a more user friendly program. We achieved the creativity of this program simulation
through the use of our mentor and sponsor. |
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